The modern thinking Indian

The scandal about Satyam just refuses to die down. There are so many questions that remain open, and there is the major feeling that even though the Central Government took quick action once Raju had come out with his confessional statement, the state Government of Andhra Pradesh is not being so open. Before Raju had made his statement, the Chief Minister, Rajshekhar Reddy had made a statement to the effect that the aborted merger was over, and people should get on with their lives. No reassurance about watching out for a company that was the star of Andhra Pradesh and employed 50,000 people. And just a few days after the Chief Minister dismissed all warnings, the Satyam Chief went ahead and wrote his confessional note. And after this, the Chief Minister had nothing to say.
Now, there are so many open questions that it seems that there are so many mysteries to resolve, and the former Satyam Chief is sitting in jail, with some police investigators getting access to him. For some arcane reason, SEBI investigators are unable to get access to Raju, currently in jail (The Andhra High Court has refused SEBI the permission to do so even though a huge amount of investor money went down the drain).
- How many employees does Satyam have ? There are multiple reports about whether it has 53,000 employees or it has a lower number of employees with contradicting statements from the board and from the public prosecutor
- How did Raju divert money away from Satyam to the extent that a software company that has a large margin is very low on money ?
- What are the exact details of the Andhra Government support to Maytas (a company also run by Raju and his family) ? It has a huge amount of Government contracts that are now in jeopardy. In fact, the contract for the Metro was so controversial that the head of Delhi Metro (Mr. Sreedharan) stepped away as a consultant with a talk about this being an unfair contract (and the Andhra Government threatened him with a defamation lawsuit).
- Why has the investigation into this huge fraud case not yet handed over to a central agency with the ability to do a financial and criminal investigation both ?
- Will the money that has been diverted away from Satyam ever be recovered ?
- What was the level of interaction between Raju and the Congress Government of Y Rajsekhar Reddy ?
- What was the exact role of the auditors given that they appear to be grossly incompetent, and maybe involved in a criminal conspiracy ?
There are so many other questions, and yet there are no good answers. The investigation is continuing, but already questions are emerging about whether this is a fair investigation, or whether this is an attempt to try and protect Raju. For a scandal that is India's largest and casts a negative impression on the overall positive India story, the investigations needs to be time-bound and very thorough.

Labels: Corruption, Economy, Finance, Fraud, Investigation, Police, Politics, Punishment, Stock Market

The recession word is haunting markets the world over. The US was already in recession, and given its status as the driver of the world economy, it is not a good portent for the rest of the economies all over the world. Other economies are starting to get badly affected; the collapse of an economy such as Iceland typically is of concern only to the natives, but a recession in countries such as Germany (the largest powerhouse of the European Union), slow growth in Japan, reduced growth in China, all of these are very bad portents that the situation will get much worse before it gets better.
In India, things are getting bad. Reduction in inflation to less than 9% is the only bit of good news, else the shake in consumer confidence has had a drastic effect. Entire industries such as textiles (hit by loss of exports), IT (because of reduction in IT spending in the US), Consumer Goods / Auto (because of loss in confidence and hence reduction in spending), Realty (massively hit because people are unwilling to commit), Airlines (massive losses so far), and numerous other industries are being hit.
So, in the space of a few months, the Government and the RBI are trying to reverse all the measures they took earlier, such as a tight credit scene (they were trying to cut inflation, but also cut industrial growth due to the tight credit squeeze), the Government is willing to give measures to improve the lot of airlines, banks, mutual funds, and so on; with this being an election year, the Government will also try to ensure that they will do what they can to bring back the good times. The biggest question is about whether the Government can do anything substantial, other than wait for these recession times to pass over.

Labels: Economy, Equity, Finance, Problems, Property, Stock Market